# LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 17 May 2026 09:24:33 GMT. 24h change -67.0pp, 24h volume $672.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-hle1-kt-2026-05-17-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-hle1-kt-2026-05-17-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 17, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-17T09:24:33.694Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -41.4pp |
| Δ 24h | -67.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $672.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $672.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $1.0M |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 17, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Hanwha Life Esports and KT Rolster in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 17 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 1 against KT Rolster.
> 
> This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 1 against Hanwha Life Esports.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 78%): Probability moved down 67.0pp in 24h with 0.7× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 99,998.595 shares
- `0xddb6…87e7` — 35,349.515 shares
- `0x663d…2dd4` — 20,999.937 shares
- `0x72d8…5213` — 19,999.98 shares
- `0xed88…e838` — 11,723.829 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3b4c…e850` — 59,138.89 shares
- `0x3833…33d1` — 20,000 shares
- `0x14f1…4a46` — 17,200 shares
- `0xf201…527e` — 14,756.92 shares
- `0x56c9…0d9e` — 13,557.457 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 161 |
| Window start | 2026-05-10T17:00:35.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-17T09:23:06.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 73¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-hle1-kt-2026-05-17-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-17T09:24:33.694Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-hle1-kt-2026-05-17-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*