# LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 71% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 23 May 2026 13:38:02 GMT. 24h change +1.0pp, 24h volume $0.00.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-ig1-tt-2026-05-23-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-ig1-tt-2026-05-23-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-23T13:38:02.279Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **71¢** (71%) |
| Δ 1h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $0.00 |
| Lifetime volume | $0.00 |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $1.6K |
| Spread | 10.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Invictus Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Play-In, initially scheduled for May 23 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 2 against ThunderTalk Gaming.
> 
> This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 2 against Invictus Gaming.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 55%): Expires in 1h. Spread is extremely wide.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc44f…d49f` — 45,011.286 shares
- `0xf201…527e` — 15,460.895 shares
- `0x4b8f…de20` — 13,741.54 shares
- `0x8c0b…7aa5` — 8,050.493 shares
- `0x0b89…a4cd` — 8,011.764 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3af1…d739` — 34,183.967 shares
- `0xe100…4d41` — 29,008.33 shares
- `0xa16a…33a1` — 18,888 shares
- `0xda6a…5b40` — 18,345.75 shares
- `0xe557…9597` — 18,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 67 |
| Window start | 2026-05-18T04:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-20T21:38:08.000Z |
| Range | 49¢ → 74¢ |
| Net change | +23.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-ig1-tt-2026-05-23-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner — 71% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-23T13:38:02.279Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-ig1-tt-2026-05-23-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*