# LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 23 May 2026 14:25:50 GMT. 24h change -71.0pp, 24h volume $374.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-ig1-tt-2026-05-23-game3
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-ig1-tt-2026-05-23-game3
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-23T14:25:50.677Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.4pp |
| Δ 24h | -71.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $374.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $374.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $153.2K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Invictus Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Play-In, initially scheduled for May 23 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 3 against ThunderTalk Gaming.
> 
> This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 3 against Invictus Gaming.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. 
> 
> If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved down 71.0pp in 24h with 2.4× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 2h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xf201…527e` — 26,184.869 shares
- `0x3af1…d739` — 23,383.196 shares
- `0xf070…ac55` — 16,075.944 shares
- `0x17f1…af18` — 10,000 shares
- `0xd3b0…329e` — 9,750 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xc44f…d49f` — 39,428.631 shares
- `0xfbf3…b218` — 30,220.474 shares
- `0x4b8f…de20` — 22,544.31 shares
- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 20,853.88 shares
- `0xa16a…33a1` — 9,437.35 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 132 |
| Window start | 2026-05-18T04:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-23T14:24:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 76¢ |
| Net change | -47.9pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-ig1-tt-2026-05-23-game3` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-23T14:25:50.677Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-ig1-tt-2026-05-23-game3.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*