# LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 22 May 2026 17:03:16 GMT. 24h change -50.0pp, 24h volume $290.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-jdg-wb-2026-05-22-game4
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-jdg-wb-2026-05-22-game4
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 22, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-22T17:03:16.520Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -50.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $290.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $290.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $320.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 22, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between JD Gaming and Weibo Gaming in the Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2, initially scheduled for May 22 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 4 against Weibo Gaming.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win Game 4 against JD Gaming.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. 
> 
> If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x9b49…04a8` — 24,241.804 shares
- `0x0bf8…03b2` — 11,042.118 shares
- `0xe405…c67e` — 11,004.252 shares
- `0xd995…2b51` — 9,146.379 shares
- `0x21d0…42b1` — 7,702.1 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xd703…71bf` — 28,000 shares
- `0x5e04…08a2` — 27,577.22 shares
- `0xe100…4d41` — 18,789.777 shares
- `0x8c0b…7aa5` — 17,543.177 shares
- `0x4916…5442` — 10,821.92 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 25 |
| Window start | 2026-05-21T16:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-22T15:51:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 65¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-jdg-wb-2026-05-22-game4` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-22T17:03:16.520Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-jdg-wb-2026-05-22-game4.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*