# LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 23 May 2026 18:48:47 GMT. 24h change -37.0pp, 24h volume $360.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-kc-g2-2026-05-24-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-kc-g2-2026-05-24-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-23T18:48:47.976Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -35.4pp |
| Δ 24h | -37.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -41.9pp |
| 24h volume | $360.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $360.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $523.2K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Karmine Corp and G2 Esports in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 24 at 11:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 2 against G2 Esports.
> 
> This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win Game 2 against Karmine Corp.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 79%): Probability moved down 37.0pp in 24h with 0.7× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x40ea…832f` — 21,878.372 shares
- `0x6373…a0b7` — 20,000 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 17,615.763 shares
- `0x3af1…d739` — 17,004.691 shares
- `0xc44f…d49f` — 11,982.981 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x6049…f14f` — 76,174.34 shares
- `0xd3b0…329e` — 19,750 shares
- `0x52ec…a6f3` — 16,684.29 shares
- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 12,522.715 shares
- `0xe022…cf77` — 10,812.529 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-16T18:00:11.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-23T17:26:06.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 45¢ |
| Net change | -41.9pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-kc-g2-2026-05-24-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-23T18:48:47.976Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-kc-g2-2026-05-24-game2.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*