# LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 10 May 2026 18:05:07 GMT. 24h change -69.0pp, 24h volume $494.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-kc-gx-2026-05-10-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-kc-gx-2026-05-10-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-10T18:05:07.621Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -69.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $494.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $494.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $199.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Karmine Corp and GIANTX in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 10 at 9:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 2 against GIANTX.
> 
> This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win Game 2 against Karmine Corp.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 24,017.393 shares
- `0x17f1…af18` — 10,000 shares
- `0x3a09…f9f7` — 8,001 shares
- `0x8e8c…65dd` — 8,000 shares
- `0xb10b…0b04` — 5,554.993 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3b4c…e850` — 40,000 shares
- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 30,004.97 shares
- `0x3af1…d739` — 26,766.965 shares
- `0xc44f…d49f` — 21,138.643 shares
- `0xb234…1c20` — 8,499.89 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 122 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T18:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-10T18:03:06.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 76¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-kc-gx-2026-05-10-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-10T18:05:07.621Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-kc-gx-2026-05-10-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*