# LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 14 May 2026 19:29:44 GMT. 24h change +46.5pp, 24h volume $255.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-kc-mkoi-2026-05-14-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-kc-mkoi-2026-05-14-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-14T19:29:44.186Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +46.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +44.0pp |
| 24h volume | $255.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $255.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $161.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 14 at 11:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 2 against Movistar KOI.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 2 against Karmine Corp.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 45,300.15 shares
- `0x996a…e3cc` — 37,000 shares
- `0xe405…c67e` — 15,905.558 shares
- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 7,388.7 shares
- `0xd3b0…329e` — 6,321.263 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x9b49…04a8` — 21,293.095 shares
- `0x6842…20d0` — 13,999.99 shares
- `0xb10b…0b04` — 12,331.856 shares
- `0x19b6…ad8e` — 9,774.985 shares
- `0xf859…a183` — 5,295.683 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-07T20:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-14T19:29:07.000Z |
| Range | 54¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +44.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-kc-mkoi-2026-05-14-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-14T19:29:44.186Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-kc-mkoi-2026-05-14-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*