# Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 10:50:24 GMT. 24h change -58.5pp, 24h volume $123.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-kt-bro2-2026-05-03-game-handicap-away-1pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-kt-bro2-2026-05-03-game-handicap-away-1pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T10:50:24.479Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -58.5pp |
| Δ 1w | -56.0pp |
| 24h volume | $123.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $123.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $233.0K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between KT Rolster and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 3 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster wins 2 or more games than HANJIN BRION in this match.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION". 
> 
> Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xbde3…4a49` — 30,045.793 shares
- `0xe308…25cd` — 20,000 shares
- `0x8996…fbce` — 15,044.927 shares
- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 10,000 shares
- `0x8ddc…9c0f` — 5,424.73 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 26,853.081 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 24,804.145 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 15,000 shares
- `0xa7df…5eee` — 10,114.968 shares
- `0x67b6…00bc` — 9,999.993 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-26T11:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T10:50:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 65¢ |
| Net change | -56.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-kt-bro2-2026-05-03-game-handicap-away-1pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T10:50:24.479Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-kt-bro2-2026-05-03-game-handicap-away-1pt5.
```

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