# LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 13:07:35 GMT. 24h change -77.5pp, 24h volume $521.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-kt-fox1-2026-05-05-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-kt-fox1-2026-05-05-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T13:07:35.105Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -77.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $521.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $521.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $89.0K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between KT Rolster and BNK FEARX in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 5 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 1 against BNK FEARX.
> 
> This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 1 against KT Rolster.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 3h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xb0f3…883c` — 101,153.846 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 48,260.81 shares
- `0xc75a…1ab2` — 26,957.723 shares
- `0xda3a…381f` — 23,399.961 shares
- `0x31b0…8bf3` — 16,799.69 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 106,344.807 shares
- `0xcd36…0f01` — 55,555 shares
- `0x06c0…bc23` — 42,632 shares
- `0x996a…e3cc` — 28,000 shares
- `0xda6a…5b40` — 26,666 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 52 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T11:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T13:06:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 78¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-kt-fox1-2026-05-05-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T13:07:35.105Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-kt-fox1-2026-05-05-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*