# LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 72% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 05:27:38 GMT. 24h change -13.5pp, 24h volume $141.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-kt-fox1-2026-05-05
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-kt-fox1-2026-05-05
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T05:27:38.294Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **72¢** (72%) |
| Δ 1h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -13.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $141.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $141.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $60.5K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between KT Rolster and BNK FEARX in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 5 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against BNK FEARX.
> 
> This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against KT Rolster.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. 
> 
> If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
> 
> In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved down 13.5pp in 24h with 2.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 10h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc0fd…a0a9` — 16,499.918 shares
- `0x886e…afd6` — 12,520.103 shares
- `0x8a84…8606` — 11,911 shares
- `0x498c…42bf` — 10,716.36 shares
- `0x1065…6218` — 8,459.137 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 88,097.648 shares
- `0x6918…782b` — 21,035 shares
- `0x67b6…00bc` — 9,999.999 shares
- `0x4b59…3aa6` — 7,017.426 shares
- `0xeea6…135f` — 1,500 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 45 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T10:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T05:27:14.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 88¢ |
| Net change | +21.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-kt-fox1-2026-05-05` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs — 72% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T05:27:38.294Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-kt-fox1-2026-05-05.
```

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