# LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 32% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 28 May 2026 13:47:43 GMT. 24h change -10.0pp, 24h volume $24.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-kt-t1-2026-05-28-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-kt-t1-2026-05-28-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-28T13:47:43.391Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **32¢** (32%) |
| Δ 1h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -10.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $24.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $31.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $51.4K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between KT Rolster and T1 in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 28 at 6:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 1 against T1.
> 
> This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 1 against KT Rolster.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 76%): Probability moved down 10.0pp in 24h with 0.5× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 0h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc44f…d49f` — 55,800.055 shares
- `0x3af1…d739` — 51,972.969 shares
- `0x52ec…a6f3` — 48,865.888 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 40,478.63 shares
- `0x0eab…d4bf` — 32,414.462 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 175,662.171 shares
- `0xb489…de6b` — 64,064.06 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 56,467.215 shares
- `0x3b4c…e850` — 44,900 shares
- `0xd3b0…329e` — 43,999.983 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 76 |
| Window start | 2026-05-24T01:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-27T03:57:04.000Z |
| Range | 35¢ → 44¢ |
| Net change | +6.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-kt-t1-2026-05-28-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner — 32% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-28T13:47:43.391Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-kt-t1-2026-05-28-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*