# LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 3 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 44% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 26 May 2026 01:41:35 GMT. 24h change -7.0pp, 24h volume $18.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-lll-los-2026-05-25-game3
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-lll-los-2026-05-25-game3
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 26, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-26T01:41:35.068Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **44¢** (44%) |
| Δ 1h | -4.5pp |
| Δ 24h | -7.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $18.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $18.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $50.1K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 26, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between LOUD and LOS in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 25 at 12:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win Game 3 against LOS.
> 
> This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win Game 3 against LOUD.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. 
> 
> If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 64%): Probability moved down 7.0pp in 24h with 0.4× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 1h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x93cc…6ffc` — 32,000 shares
- `0x3b63…4acd` — 21,400 shares
- `0x6bac…6fb7` — 8,002 shares
- `0x62f1…8432` — 7,159.62 shares
- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 6,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x0eab…d4bf` — 44,970 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 30,354.635 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 15,999.894 shares
- `0xf201…527e` — 12,314.242 shares
- `0xda3a…381f` — 4,999.945 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 25 |
| Window start | 2026-05-24T23:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T22:58:05.000Z |
| Range | 46¢ → 51¢ |
| Net change | -5.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-lll-los-2026-05-25-game3` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 3 Winner — 44% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-26T01:41:35.068Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-lll-los-2026-05-25-game3.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*