# LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 14 May 2026 11:13:16 GMT. 24h change +38.5pp, 24h volume $628.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-lng-lgd-2026-05-14-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-lng-lgd-2026-05-14-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-14T11:13:16.763Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +38.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $628.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $628.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $523.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between LNG Esports and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 14 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "LNG Esports" if LNG Esports win Game 1 against LGD Gaming.
> 
> This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against LNG Esports.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3b4c…e850` — 120,000 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 41,096.139 shares
- `0x76cf…9452` — 19,221.258 shares
- `0x2eaa…7d1a` — 15,498.4 shares
- `0x6130…a7a6` — 11,262.942 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 56,148.082 shares
- `0x3a09…f9f7` — 28,690.998 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 28,167.363 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 27,499.983 shares
- `0x8e8c…65dd` — 27,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 158 |
| Window start | 2026-05-07T23:00:19.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-14T11:12:04.000Z |
| Range | 49¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-lng-lgd-2026-05-14-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-14T11:13:16.763Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-lng-lgd-2026-05-14-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*