# LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 14 May 2026 12:07:39 GMT. 24h change +38.5pp, 24h volume $405.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-lng-lgd-2026-05-14-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-lng-lgd-2026-05-14-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-14T12:07:39.198Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +38.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $405.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $405.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $474.0K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between LNG Esports and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 14 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "LNG Esports" if LNG Esports win Game 2 against LGD Gaming.
> 
> This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 2 against LNG Esports.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x33ab…9523` — 28,574.35 shares
- `0xd2f3…37f9` — 21,448.719 shares
- `0x161e…6ef0` — 18,221.33 shares
- `0x3b4c…e850` — 13,550 shares
- `0x76cf…9452` — 13,008.77 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xafd4…7e61` — 19,496.583 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 9,999.993 shares
- `0xb10b…0b04` — 9,270.957 shares
- `0xb589…91e3` — 7,692.299 shares
- `0x9b49…04a8` — 7,309.821 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 159 |
| Window start | 2026-05-07T23:00:18.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-14T12:07:08.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-lng-lgd-2026-05-14-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-14T12:07:39.198Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-lng-lgd-2026-05-14-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*