# LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 00:19:03 GMT. 24h change +37.0pp, 24h volume $344.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-ly-sen-2026-05-03-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-ly-sen-2026-05-03-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T00:19:03.950Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +37.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $344.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $344.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $232.2K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Sentinels in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 3 at 4:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 2 against Sentinels.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win Game 2 against LYON.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xb489…de6b` — 36,036.06 shares
- `0xe405…c67e` — 13,981.029 shares
- `0xa16a…33a1` — 9,728.56 shares
- `0x16ce…eba1` — 7,100.005 shares
- `0x29e6…3365` — 4,026.43 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x6842…20d0` — 8,299.992 shares
- `0xa1e4…4f8a` — 6,376.555 shares
- `0x5038…6236` — 6,216.375 shares
- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 5,299.989 shares
- `0x6bac…6fb7` — 4,488.11 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 143 |
| Window start | 2026-04-28T02:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T00:18:05.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-ly-sen-2026-05-03-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T00:19:03.950Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-ly-sen-2026-05-03-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*