# LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 54% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 24 May 2026 22:50:31 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $0.00.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-ly-tl2-2026-05-24-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-ly-tl2-2026-05-24-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-24T22:50:31.818Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **54¢** (54%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $0.00 |
| Lifetime volume | $0.00 |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $6.1K |
| Spread | 3.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between LYON and Team Liquid in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 24 at 4:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 1 against Team Liquid.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against LYON.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 1h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xe405…c67e` — 29,720.576 shares
- `0xc44f…d49f` — 19,030.44 shares
- `0x8c0b…7aa5` — 13,325.07 shares
- `0x6df6…8458` — 10,339.931 shares
- `0x5038…6236` — 6,976 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2cad…eb66` — 64,270.52 shares
- `0xe361…ae44` — 27,270.3 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 25,998.927 shares
- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 20,000 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 14,784.855 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 152 |
| Window start | 2026-05-18T16:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-24T22:50:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 56¢ |
| Net change | -54.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-ly-tl2-2026-05-24-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner — 54% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-24T22:50:31.818Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-ly-tl2-2026-05-24-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*