# LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 53% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 00:41:15 GMT. 24h change -1.0pp, 24h volume $0.00.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-ly-tl2-2026-05-24-game3
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-ly-tl2-2026-05-24-game3
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T00:41:15.567Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **53¢** (53%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $0.00 |
| Lifetime volume | $0.00 |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $17.0K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between LYON and Team Liquid in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 24 at 4:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 3 against Team Liquid.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 3 against LYON.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. 
> 
> If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 0h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xffe9…a70e` — 30,000 shares
- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 22,000 shares
- `0xf201…527e` — 21,899.043 shares
- `0x9ad6…4251` — 9,359 shares
- `0xe405…c67e` — 9,210.6 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x40ea…832f` — 40,072.56 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 36,977.659 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 12,099.947 shares
- `0xb6ce…7a7d` — 9,985.971 shares
- `0x3186…e9ca` — 8,743.279 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 154 |
| Window start | 2026-05-18T16:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T00:41:04.000Z |
| Range | 51¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +46.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-ly-tl2-2026-05-24-game3` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner — 53% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T00:41:15.567Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-ly-tl2-2026-05-24-game3.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*