# LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 10 May 2026 19:23:46 GMT. 24h change +60.0pp, 24h volume $504.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-mkoi-g2-2026-05-10-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-mkoi-g2-2026-05-10-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-10T19:23:46.910Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +60.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $504.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $504.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $231.9K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Movistar KOI and G2 Esports in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 10 at 12:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 1 against G2 Esports.
> 
> This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win Game 1 against Movistar KOI.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x2eaa…7d1a` — 50,000 shares
- `0x3a09…f9f7` — 18,358.976 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 18,074.457 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 16,753.949 shares
- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 13,945.865 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3833…33d1` — 29,999.998 shares
- `0x9b49…04a8` — 23,175.509 shares
- `0x17f1…af18` — 14,999.991 shares
- `0x3af1…d739` — 12,755.805 shares
- `0xe405…c67e` — 11,407.35 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 123 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T18:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-10T19:22:11.000Z |
| Range | 33¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-mkoi-g2-2026-05-10-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-10T19:23:46.910Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-mkoi-g2-2026-05-10-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*