# LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 09 May 2026 19:03:00 GMT. 24h change -41.4pp, 24h volume $426.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-mkoi-kc-2026-05-09-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-mkoi-kc-2026-05-09-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-09T19:03:00.175Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -41.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $426.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $426.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $221.8K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Movistar KOI and Karmine Corp in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 9 at 1:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 1 against Karmine Corp.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 1 against Movistar KOI.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3af1…d739` — 14,956.189 shares
- `0xb10b…0b04` — 12,410.148 shares
- `0x9b49…04a8` — 12,084.977 shares
- `0xf070…ac55` — 10,764.84 shares
- `0x6bac…6fb7` — 9,930.35 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xafd4…7e61` — 28,252.605 shares
- `0x6049…f14f` — 23,857.8 shares
- `0x33ab…9523` — 20,378.9 shares
- `0xe361…ae44` — 19,834.717 shares
- `0x183f…85e3` — 11,153.051 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 99 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T18:00:03.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-09T19:02:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 51¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-mkoi-kc-2026-05-09-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-09T19:03:00.175Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-mkoi-kc-2026-05-09-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*