# LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 09 May 2026 20:04:00 GMT. 24h change +58.5pp, 24h volume $282.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-mkoi-kc-2026-05-09-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-mkoi-kc-2026-05-09-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-09T20:04:00.057Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +58.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $282.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $282.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $149.1K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Movistar KOI and Karmine Corp in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 9 at 1:00PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 2 against Karmine Corp.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 2 against Movistar KOI.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x4337…8882` — 56,110 shares
- `0x31b0…8bf3` — 7,965.276 shares
- `0x2037…473d` — 7,500 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 6,972.998 shares
- `0xd3b0…329e` — 4,099.992 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 18,601.929 shares
- `0x3af1…d739` — 10,693.958 shares
- `0x9d93…2cf1` — 6,779.018 shares
- `0x2586…f071` — 6,666 shares
- `0xe405…c67e` — 6,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 100 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T18:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-09T20:03:08.000Z |
| Range | 38¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-mkoi-kc-2026-05-09-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-09T20:04:00.057Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-mkoi-kc-2026-05-09-game2.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*