# LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 07 May 2026 16:16:20 GMT. 24h change +70.5pp, 24h volume $490.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-nip-al-2026-05-07-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-nip-al-2026-05-07-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 7, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-07T16:16:20.485Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +70.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +62.5pp |
| 24h volume | $490.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $490.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $418.9K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 7, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 7 at 7:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 1 against Anyone's Legend.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win Game 1 against Ninjas in Pyjamas.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3b4c…e850` — 68,000 shares
- `0x52ec…a6f3` — 30,506.564 shares
- `0xcd36…0f01` — 22,789 shares
- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 9,713.934 shares
- `0x183f…85e3` — 7,598.112 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x9b49…04a8` — 16,156.123 shares
- `0xc44f…d49f` — 15,691.044 shares
- `0x67ac…edf1` — 14,411.546 shares
- `0x2e5b…2b2d` — 11,029.177 shares
- `0xa2e4…bf9d` — 10,862.326 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-30T16:00:03.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-07T15:40:05.000Z |
| Range | 30¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +62.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-nip-al-2026-05-07-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-07T16:16:20.485Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-nip-al-2026-05-07-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*