# Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 64% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 23 May 2026 13:41:58 GMT. 24h change +0.5pp, 24h volume $40.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-ns-hle1-2026-05-23-game-handicap-home-1pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-ns-hle1-2026-05-23-game-handicap-home-1pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-23T13:41:58.703Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **64¢** (64%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +14.0pp |
| 24h volume | $40.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $42.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $38.7K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Red Force and Hanwha Life Esports in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 23 at 6:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports wins 2 or more games than Nongshim Red Force in this match.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force". 
> 
> Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 2h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xe72b…b0a0` — 105,152.518 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 23,626.77 shares
- `0x2307…3934` — 19,744.625 shares
- `0x8688…9d8c` — 18,659.476 shares
- `0xd202…8973` — 14,247.989 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x1136…0c2e` — 79,999.732 shares
- `0x8fbb…9a17` — 65,871.381 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 41,933.775 shares
- `0x8c0b…7aa5` — 20,000 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 19,999.852 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-16T08:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-23T07:17:04.000Z |
| Range | 51¢ → 76¢ |
| Net change | +0.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-ns-hle1-2026-05-23-game-handicap-home-1pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5) — 64% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-23T13:41:58.703Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-ns-hle1-2026-05-23-game-handicap-home-1pt5.
```

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