# LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 14:26:05 GMT. 24h change -23.4pp, 24h volume $673.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-ns-hle1-2026-05-25-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-ns-hle1-2026-05-25-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T14:26:05.976Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.4pp |
| Δ 24h | -23.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $673.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $673.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $511.1K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Nongshim Red Force and Hanwha Life Esports in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 25 at 6:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 2 against Hanwha Life Esports.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 2 against Nongshim Red Force.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 86%): Probability moved down 23.4pp in 24h with 1.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 3h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x6130…a7a6` — 118,830.066 shares
- `0x3af1…d739` — 44,440 shares
- `0x8fbb…9a17` — 27,642.541 shares
- `0xb589…91e3` — 27,142.792 shares
- `0xb635…bef0` — 15,335.836 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 88,050.35 shares
- `0xd3b0…329e` — 37,999.968 shares
- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 32,278.879 shares
- `0x47b3…039c` — 29,146.42 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 23,893.2 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 108 |
| Window start | 2026-05-19T14:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-24T00:43:05.000Z |
| Range | 21¢ → 50¢ |
| Net change | -29.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-ns-hle1-2026-05-25-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T14:26:05.976Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-ns-hle1-2026-05-25-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*