# LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 21:22:05 GMT. 24h change -25.4pp, 24h volume $386.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-shft-mkoi-2026-05-04-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-shft-mkoi-2026-05-04-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T21:22:05.805Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -25.4pp |
| Δ 1w | -50.4pp |
| 24h volume | $386.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $386.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $273.1K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Shifters and Movistar KOI in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 4 at 1:15PM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win Game 2 against Movistar KOI.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 2 against Shifters.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x40ea…832f` — 30,909.999 shares
- `0xf070…ac55` — 17,777 shares
- `0x2935…96f7` — 13,999.933 shares
- `0xf201…527e` — 12,359.981 shares
- `0x84ad…bfb7` — 8,998.487 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2eaa…7d1a` — 30,000 shares
- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 14,434.692 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 13,806.329 shares
- `0x7430…3af2` — 10,991.448 shares
- `0x2518…254f` — 10,027.499 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-27T22:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T21:20:04.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 52¢ |
| Net change | -50.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-shft-mkoi-2026-05-04-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T21:22:05.805Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-shft-mkoi-2026-05-04-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*