# Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 15:19:17 GMT. 24h change +45.5pp, 24h volume $249.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-t1-bro2-2026-05-05-game-handicap-away-1pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-t1-bro2-2026-05-05-game-handicap-away-1pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T15:19:17.328Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +45.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $249.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $249.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $32.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between T1 and HANJIN BRION in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 5 at 6:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 wins 2 or more games than HANJIN BRION in this match.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION". 
> 
> Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. 
> 
> If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 3h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xafd4…7e61` — 30,070.15 shares
- `0xf344…9a04` — 24,000.03 shares
- `0x93cc…6ffc` — 15,554.47 shares
- `0x8c0b…7aa5` — 10,300.125 shares
- `0x5bff…ffbe` — 8,103.847 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 74,868.87 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 18,513.999 shares
- `0x8479…40df` — 10,173.97 shares
- `0xcf60…a6f5` — 5,000 shares
- `0x1f03…b1be` — 4,999.882 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 54 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T11:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T15:18:06.000Z |
| Range | 35¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-t1-bro2-2026-05-05-game-handicap-away-1pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T15:19:17.328Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-t1-bro2-2026-05-05-game-handicap-away-1pt5.
```

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