# LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 15:16:25 GMT. 24h change +18.4pp, 24h volume $250.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-t1-bro2-2026-05-05-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-t1-bro2-2026-05-05-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T15:16:25.704Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +18.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $250.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $250.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $64.5K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between T1 and HANJIN BRION in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 5 at 6:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 1 against HANJIN BRION.
> 
> This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 1 against T1.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 3h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x8e8c…6657` — 16,293.61 shares
- `0x3b63…4acd` — 15,000 shares
- `0xe557…9597` — 10,400 shares
- `0xbc3a…a2ab` — 10,000 shares
- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 8,435.929 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 28,356.019 shares
- `0xd202…8973` — 11,310.839 shares
- `0xa87d…e4bf` — 8,038 shares
- `0xd3b0…329e` — 6,423.989 shares
- `0x3186…e9ca` — 5,008 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 54 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T11:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T15:15:07.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-t1-bro2-2026-05-05-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T15:16:25.704Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-t1-bro2-2026-05-05-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*