# LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 10:56:45 GMT. 24h change +20.9pp, 24h volume $580.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-t1-ns-2026-05-13-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-t1-ns-2026-05-13-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T10:56:45.649Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +20.9pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $580.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $580.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $395.4K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 13 at 4:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 2 against Nongshim Red Force.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 2 against T1.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3b4c…e850` — 50,000 shares
- `0xd703…71bf` — 24,297.29 shares
- `0x663d…2dd4` — 19,631.043 shares
- `0x14f1…4a46` — 16,900 shares
- `0x4b8f…de20` — 12,413.19 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xdb25…eb12` — 26,548.665 shares
- `0xb10b…0b04` — 16,426.623 shares
- `0x84ad…bfb7` — 14,921.778 shares
- `0x57cd…a0fb` — 11,414.553 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 10,344.92 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 67 |
| Window start | 2026-05-10T17:00:35.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T10:56:09.000Z |
| Range | 71¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +23.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-t1-ns-2026-05-13-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T10:56:45.649Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-t1-ns-2026-05-13-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*