# LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 06 May 2026 14:28:53 GMT. 24h change -48.9pp, 24h volume $647.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-tes-jdg-2026-05-06-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-tes-jdg-2026-05-06-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-06T14:28:53.895Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -48.9pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $647.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $648.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $283.9K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 6 at 7:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 1 against JD Gaming.
> 
> This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 1 against Top Esports.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 4h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xafe8…5f44` — 45,341.49 shares
- `0x161e…6ef0` — 41,148.734 shares
- `0xbde3…4a49` — 39,304.839 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 20,000 shares
- `0xb4c8…cf96` — 19,269.145 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x1341…0853` — 90,393.759 shares
- `0x3af1…d739` — 34,839.258 shares
- `0x3833…33d1` — 25,000 shares
- `0x52ec…a6f3` — 24,948.6 shares
- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 24,468.05 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 157 |
| Window start | 2026-04-30T02:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-06T14:28:06.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 51¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-tes-jdg-2026-05-06-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-06T14:28:53.895Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-tes-jdg-2026-05-06-game1.
```

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