# LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 12 May 2026 11:50:02 GMT. 24h change -65.0pp, 24h volume $296.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-tes-nip-2026-05-12-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-tes-nip-2026-05-12-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-12T11:50:02.613Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -65.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -62.5pp |
| 24h volume | $296.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $297.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $152.2K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 12 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 1 against Ninjas in Pyjamas.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 1 against Top Esports.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xb10b…0b04` — 16,162.202 shares
- `0xd408…e85c` — 11,794.78 shares
- `0x3a09…f9f7` — 10,357 shares
- `0x8e8c…65dd` — 10,300 shares
- `0xe04a…f990` — 9,540 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x161e…6ef0` — 55,375.7 shares
- `0x3af1…d739` — 25,393.963 shares
- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 20,358.21 shares
- `0x76cf…9452` — 13,041.77 shares
- `0x507e…beae` — 9,218.321 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T12:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-12T11:49:06.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 76¢ |
| Net change | -62.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-tes-nip-2026-05-12-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-12T11:50:02.613Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-tes-nip-2026-05-12-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*