# LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 09 May 2026 13:02:05 GMT. 24h change +23.9pp, 24h volume $279.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-tes-we-2026-05-09-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-tes-we-2026-05-09-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-09T13:02:05.818Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +23.9pp |
| Δ 1w | +38.5pp |
| 24h volume | $279.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $279.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $180.3K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Team WE in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 9 at 7:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 1 against Team WE.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 1 against Top Esports.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 2h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x52ec…a6f3` — 41,956.895 shares
- `0xd2f3…37f9` — 13,484.946 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 12,822.73 shares
- `0x4b8f…de20` — 10,795 shares
- `0xe361…ae44` — 9,136.28 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3833…33d1` — 13,000 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 10,000 shares
- `0x9024…a444` — 9,999.978 shares
- `0xb589…91e3` — 8,458.55 shares
- `0x6bac…6fb7` — 5,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T14:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-09T13:01:05.000Z |
| Range | 61¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +38.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-tes-we-2026-05-09-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-09T13:02:05.818Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-tes-we-2026-05-09-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*