# LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 09 May 2026 16:02:36 GMT. 24h change +22.9pp, 24h volume $225.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-tes-we-2026-05-09-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-tes-we-2026-05-09-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-09T16:02:36.076Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +22.9pp |
| Δ 1w | +38.5pp |
| 24h volume | $225.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $225.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $449.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Team WE in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 9 at 7:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 2 against Team WE.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 2 against Top Esports.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x52ec…a6f3` — 43,471.697 shares
- `0xd2f3…37f9` — 19,574.126 shares
- `0x4b8f…de20` — 4,999.999 shares
- `0x9d94…017d` — 3,704.616 shares
- `0xf4fa…c84a` — 3,325.349 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xb10b…0b04` — 11,331.957 shares
- `0x3445…d229` — 10,399.995 shares
- `0xb635…bef0` — 8,699.974 shares
- `0x6bac…6fb7` — 8,144.07 shares
- `0x4713…4d21` — 4,210.967 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T17:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-09T16:01:05.000Z |
| Range | 59¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +16.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-tes-we-2026-05-09-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-09T16:02:36.076Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-tes-we-2026-05-09-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*