# LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 19:10:53 GMT. 24h change -50.0pp, 24h volume $196.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-th-shft-2026-05-03-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-th-shft-2026-05-03-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T19:10:53.198Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -50.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $196.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $196.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $159.1K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Team Heretics and Shifters in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 3 at 11:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win Game 2 against Shifters.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win Game 2 against Team Heretics.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xf070…ac55` — 10,997.014 shares
- `0x9b49…04a8` — 9,999.99 shares
- `0x8725…eb10` — 6,607.957 shares
- `0x23c8…f293` — 6,208.825 shares
- `0x01e6…e7e0` — 5,226.8 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x52ec…a6f3` — 38,074.04 shares
- `0x85d5…45ee` — 11,231.94 shares
- `0x56c9…0d9e` — 7,060.76 shares
- `0x55d9…832c` — 3,999.996 shares
- `0x1887…f75d` — 3,109.482 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 154 |
| Window start | 2026-04-27T10:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T19:09:11.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 53¢ |
| Net change | -50.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-th-shft-2026-05-03-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T19:10:53.198Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-th-shft-2026-05-03-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*