# LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 16 May 2026 12:57:15 GMT. 24h change -39.0pp, 24h volume $297.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-tt-edg-2026-05-16-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-tt-edg-2026-05-16-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 16, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-16T12:57:15.822Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -39.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -48.9pp |
| 24h volume | $297.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $297.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $451.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 16, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 16 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 2 against EDward Gaming.
> 
> This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win Game 2 against ThunderTalk Gaming.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 0h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3af1…d739` — 53,865.902 shares
- `0xc44f…d49f` — 16,212 shares
- `0x9e3b…6598` — 15,000 shares
- `0xd6f5…f3b5` — 8,576.682 shares
- `0xb234…1c20` — 6,999.982 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x6049…f14f` — 37,378.72 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 24,257.027 shares
- `0xd2f3…37f9` — 21,592.071 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 19,999.968 shares
- `0xe405…c67e` — 10,218.04 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-09T13:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-16T12:57:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 50¢ |
| Net change | -48.9pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-tt-edg-2026-05-16-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-16T12:57:15.822Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-tt-edg-2026-05-16-game2.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*