# LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 12:47:06 GMT. 24h change +58.0pp, 24h volume $615.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-tt-lng-2026-05-03-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-tt-lng-2026-05-03-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T12:47:06.061Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +58.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +48.9pp |
| 24h volume | $615.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $615.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $343.3K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 3, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and LNG Esports in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 3 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 2 against LNG Esports.
> 
> This market will resolve to "LNG Esports" if LNG Esports win Game 2 against ThunderTalk Gaming.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 0h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x6049…f14f` — 50,679.48 shares
- `0x52ec…a6f3` — 40,107.851 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 26,141.656 shares
- `0x3a09…f9f7` — 22,911.987 shares
- `0xd2f3…37f9` — 12,850.013 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x9eca…5a59` — 36,163.68 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 30,009.967 shares
- `0xe96f…ff4b` — 23,447.996 shares
- `0x3833…33d1` — 20,181.7 shares
- `0x2935…96f7` — 13,999.992 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-26T13:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T12:46:07.000Z |
| Range | 29¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +49.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-tt-lng-2026-05-03-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T12:47:06.061Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-tt-lng-2026-05-03-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*