# LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 47% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 24 May 2026 18:41:52 GMT. 24h change -0.5pp, 24h volume $0.00.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-vit-mkoi-2026-05-23-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-vit-mkoi-2026-05-23-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-24T18:41:52.419Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **47¢** (47%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.5pp |
| Δ 24h | -0.5pp |
| Δ 1w | -1.0pp |
| 24h volume | $0.00 |
| Lifetime volume | $0.00 |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $9.4K |
| Spread | 2.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Team Vitality and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 23 at 11:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win Game 1 against Movistar KOI.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 1 against Team Vitality.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 2h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x40ea…832f` — 43,158.717 shares
- `0x8c0b…7aa5` — 19,641.184 shares
- `0x1ec6…2c80` — 14,280 shares
- `0x52ec…a6f3` — 11,487.263 shares
- `0x26f8…3452` — 11,177.967 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 12,373.28 shares
- `0x14f1…4a46` — 10,444 shares
- `0x183f…85e3` — 5,433.732 shares
- `0x3833…33d1` — 2,659.326 shares
- `0x6918…782b` — 2,110.928 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-17T19:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-24T18:00:09.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 48¢ |
| Net change | -46.9pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-vit-mkoi-2026-05-23-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner — 47% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-24T18:41:52.419Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-vit-mkoi-2026-05-23-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*