# LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 14 May 2026 14:10:58 GMT. 24h change -38.5pp, 24h volume $508.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-wb-jdg-2026-05-14-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-wb-jdg-2026-05-14-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-14T14:10:58.042Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.4pp |
| Δ 24h | -38.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $508.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $508.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $245.5K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 14 at 7:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win Game 2 against JD Gaming.
> 
> This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 2 against Weibo Gaming.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved down 38.5pp in 24h with 2.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 155,283.287 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 9,999.982 shares
- `0xd3b0…329e` — 8,000 shares
- `0xf859…a183` — 7,999.975 shares
- `0x183f…85e3` — 7,499.991 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3b4c…e850` — 60,000 shares
- `0x3af1…d739` — 31,184.99 shares
- `0x52ec…a6f3` — 17,155.306 shares
- `0x2eaa…7d1a` — 15,800 shares
- `0x42bd…12ca` — 13,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 161 |
| Window start | 2026-05-07T23:00:20.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-14T14:10:06.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 51¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-wb-jdg-2026-05-14-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-14T14:10:58.042Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-wb-jdg-2026-05-14-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*