# LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 24 May 2026 15:44:25 GMT. 24h change -79.5pp, 24h volume $405.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-wb-lgd-2026-05-24-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-wb-lgd-2026-05-24-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-24T15:44:25.248Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -79.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $405.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $405.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $359.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Play-In, initially scheduled for May 24 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win Game 2 against LGD Gaming.
> 
> This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 2 against Weibo Gaming.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xafd4…7e61` — 28,696.961 shares
- `0xda3a…381f` — 22,325.34 shares
- `0xec92…6b59` — 11,109.989 shares
- `0x8718…5040` — 9,999.991 shares
- `0x7714…b814` — 9,999.967 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xe557…9597` — 41,000 shares
- `0x3b4c…e850` — 38,400 shares
- `0x996a…e3cc` — 18,000 shares
- `0x52ec…a6f3` — 16,110.17 shares
- `0xe405…c67e` — 10,975.882 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 156 |
| Window start | 2026-05-18T04:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-24T14:28:05.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 85¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-wb-lgd-2026-05-24-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-24T15:44:25.248Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-wb-lgd-2026-05-24-game2.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*