# LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 24 May 2026 17:31:00 GMT. 24h change +37.0pp, 24h volume $407.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-wb-lgd-2026-05-24-game4
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-wb-lgd-2026-05-24-game4
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-24T17:31:00.240Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +37.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $407.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $407.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $629.9K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Play-In, initially scheduled for May 24 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win Game 4 against LGD Gaming.
> 
> This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 4 against Weibo Gaming.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. 
> 
> If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x0997…c9f6` — 18,499 shares
- `0x1887…f75d` — 16,014.137 shares
- `0x9ad6…4251` — 13,323 shares
- `0x6fc4…c89d` — 13,222 shares
- `0xf68a…5b1b` — 12,500 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xf201…527e` — 18,838.512 shares
- `0xc04e…75d9` — 16,301.685 shares
- `0xb589…91e3` — 12,690.854 shares
- `0x4b8f…de20` — 11,168.132 shares
- `0xb635…bef0` — 10,599.956 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 159 |
| Window start | 2026-05-18T04:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-24T17:15:03.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +48.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-wb-lgd-2026-05-24-game4` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-24T17:31:00.240Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-wb-lgd-2026-05-24-game4.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*