# LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 10 May 2026 13:04:39 GMT. 24h change +47.4pp, 24h volume $651.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-wb-nip-2026-05-10-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-wb-nip-2026-05-10-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-10T13:04:39.637Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +37.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +47.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +40.9pp |
| 24h volume | $651.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $651.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $527.6K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 10 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win Game 2 against Ninjas in Pyjamas.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 2 against Weibo Gaming.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 85%): Probability moved up 47.4pp in 24h with 1.2× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 168,738.22 shares
- `0xa16a…33a1` — 70,000 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 14,250 shares
- `0xd2f3…37f9` — 12,254.863 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 11,496.81 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xfbf3…b218` — 100,771.76 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 14,998.568 shares
- `0x6918…782b` — 11,973.42 shares
- `0xf070…ac55` — 11,111 shares
- `0x183f…85e3` — 10,155.37 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 169 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T12:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-10T11:33:07.000Z |
| Range | 49¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +41.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-wb-nip-2026-05-10-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-10T13:04:39.637Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-wb-nip-2026-05-10-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*