# LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 71% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 07 May 2026 12:02:07 GMT. 24h change -7.5pp, 24h volume $1.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-wb-we-2026-05-07-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-wb-we-2026-05-07-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 7, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-07T12:02:07.493Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **71¢** (71%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -7.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +20.5pp |
| 24h volume | $1.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $1.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $24.8K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 7, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Team WE in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 7 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win Game 1 against Team WE.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 1 against Weibo Gaming.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 1h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x1341…0853` — 34,199.667 shares
- `0x3b4c…e850` — 32,232.12 shares
- `0xd2f3…37f9` — 22,561.392 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 9,999.995 shares
- `0x4b8f…de20` — 6,461.092 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xe96f…ff4b` — 16,910.495 shares
- `0xafe8…5f44` — 10,000 shares
- `0x8e8c…65dd` — 9,800 shares
- `0x3a09…f9f7` — 9,653 shares
- `0x56c9…0d9e` — 9,414.049 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-30T06:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-07T05:57:04.000Z |
| Range | 49¢ → 83¢ |
| Net change | +20.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-wb-we-2026-05-07-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner — 71% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-07T12:02:07.493Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-wb-we-2026-05-07-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*