# LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 70% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 07 May 2026 13:02:09 GMT. 24h change -8.0pp, 24h volume $322.58.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-wb-we-2026-05-07-game2
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-wb-we-2026-05-07-game2
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 7, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-07T13:02:09.774Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **70¢** (70%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -8.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +21.5pp |
| 24h volume | $322.58 |
| Lifetime volume | $329.48 |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $17.4K |
| Spread | 2.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 7, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Team WE in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 7 at 5:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win Game 2 against Team WE.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 2 against Weibo Gaming.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 
> 
> If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x9770…0ff5` — 12,199.993 shares
- `0x29e6…3365` — 11,558.384 shares
- `0xea2b…1fc6` — 8,135.178 shares
- `0x4b8f…de20` — 7,999.949 shares
- `0x1887…f75d` — 6,363.842 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3b4c…e850` — 26,900 shares
- `0xe557…9597` — 19,946.3 shares
- `0x4965…02bc` — 17,597.01 shares
- `0x4d51…4946` — 10,383.87 shares
- `0x52ec…a6f3` — 9,583.566 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-30T14:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-07T13:01:03.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 83¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-wb-we-2026-05-07-game2` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner — 70% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-07T13:02:09.774Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-wb-we-2026-05-07-game2.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*