# LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 4 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 23 May 2026 11:35:23 GMT. 24h change +54.9pp, 24h volume $433.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-we-lng-2026-05-23-game4
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-we-lng-2026-05-23-game4
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-23T11:35:23.115Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +54.9pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $433.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $433.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $295.9K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Team WE and LNG Esports in the LPL Play-In, initially scheduled for May 23 at 2:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 4 against LNG Esports.
> 
> This market will resolve to "LNG Esports" if LNG Esports win Game 4 against Team WE.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. 
> 
> If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 0h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 62,298.46 shares
- `0xe557…9597` — 38,527.48 shares
- `0xafd4…7e61` — 15,676.413 shares
- `0xbf1d…e9d1` — 12,200 shares
- `0x204e…8d08` — 10,092 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x8c0b…7aa5` — 90,496.537 shares
- `0xe100…4d41` — 26,081.697 shares
- `0xf070…ac55` — 18,887.913 shares
- `0x3833…33d1` — 14,103.141 shares
- `0xec92…6b59` — 10,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 128 |
| Window start | 2026-05-18T04:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-23T10:41:04.000Z |
| Range | 38¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +51.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-we-lng-2026-05-23-game4` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 4 Winner — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-23T11:35:23.115Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-we-lng-2026-05-23-game4.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*