# LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 16 May 2026 14:46:47 GMT. 24h change -33.0pp, 24h volume $540.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/lol-we-nip-2026-05-16-game1
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/lol-we-nip-2026-05-16-game1
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 16, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-16T14:46:47.852Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -33.0pp |
| Δ 1w | -50.0pp |
| 24h volume | $540.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $540.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $219.3K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 16, 2026

**Source:** https://gol.gg/esports/home

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market refers to the LoL match between Team WE and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 16 at 7:00AM ET.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 1 against Ninjas in Pyjamas.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 1 against Team WE.
> 
> If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 
> 
> If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 
> 
> The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Expires in 4h. UMA dispute is active.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xd202…8973` — 39,649.949 shares
- `0xda3a…381f` — 18,411.095 shares
- `0x50b1…861b` — 14,631.344 shares
- `0xe405…c67e` — 11,505.486 shares
- `0x52ec…a6f3` — 10,321.034 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3b4c…e850` — 87,563.03 shares
- `0x1341…0853` — 59,137.765 shares
- `0xd2f3…37f9` — 26,067.822 shares
- `0x9770…0ff5` — 11,000 shares
- `0xef26…05ba` — 9,161.592 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-05-09T15:00:20.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-16T14:45:09.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 50¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=lol-we-nip-2026-05-16-game1` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-16T14:46:47.852Z from https://orrery.me/markets/lol-we-nip-2026-05-16-game1.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*