# MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 6% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 15:09:08 GMT. 24h change +4.2pp, 24h volume $187.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/microstrategy-sells-any-bitcoin-by-june-30-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/microstrategy-sells-any-bitcoin-by-june-30-2026
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** Jul 1, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T15:09:08.637Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **6¢** (6%) |
| Δ 1h | -0.1pp |
| Δ 24h | +4.2pp |
| Δ 1w | +2.9pp |
| 24h volume | $187.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $1.2M |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $4.5K |
| Spread | 0.20pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jul 1, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x0377…12d7` — 123,554.78 shares
- `0x073a…91e7` — 60,388.816 shares
- `0xc278…2d19` — 24,760.679 shares
- `0xac9b…d4c5` — 12,351.9 shares
- `0xa641…740c` — 11,339.883 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xb48e…a144` — 87,809.538 shares
- `0x4910…c095` — 65,718.717 shares
- `0x3283…1da9` — 30,976.453 shares
- `0x07a9…32c8` — 22,157.03 shares
- `0x7a18…d1c9` — 14,999.968 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 168 |
| Window start | 2026-04-28T16:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T15:08:05.000Z |
| Range | 2¢ → 6¢ |
| Net change | +3.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=microstrategy-sells-any-bitcoin-by-june-30-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? — 6% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T15:09:08.637Z from https://orrery.me/markets/microstrategy-sells-any-bitcoin-by-june-30-2026.
```

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