# MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 13% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 06 May 2026 22:52:51 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $179.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/microstrategy-sells-any-bitcoin-by-may-31-2026
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/microstrategy-sells-any-bitcoin-by-may-31-2026
**Category:** Crypto
**Resolves by:** Jul 1, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-06T22:52:51.255Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **13¢** (13%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $179.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $179.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $51.6K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jul 1, 2026

**Source:** the market description on Polymarket; final settlement via UMA optimistic oracle.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x71ed…d338` — 35,045.093 shares
- `0xd78b…66ab` — 23,029.77 shares
- `0x7ab4…716b` — 12,819.874 shares
- `0x7c3d…5c6b` — 4,226.732 shares
- `0x407d…1bae` — 3,110.74 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x69aa…8847` — 29,076.84 shares
- `0x6e13…a801` — 7,456.937 shares
- `0xc8ab…6418` — 4,871.594 shares
- `0xfb74…1513` — 3,999.964 shares
- `0x0c0e…434e` — 3,736.28 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 23 |
| Window start | 2026-05-06T01:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-06T22:52:04.000Z |
| Range | 9¢ → 18¢ |
| Net change | +1.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=microstrategy-sells-any-bitcoin-by-may-31-2026` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? — 13% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-06T22:52:51.255Z from https://orrery.me/markets/microstrategy-sells-any-bitcoin-by-may-31-2026.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*