# Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 34% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 06 May 2026 21:41:43 GMT. 24h change -11.5pp, 24h volume $264.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-atl-sea-2026-05-06
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-atl-sea-2026-05-06
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-06T21:41:43.244Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **34¢** (34%) |
| Δ 1h | -7.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -11.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $264.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $264.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $10.4K |
| Spread | 2.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026

**Source:** https://www.mlb.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for May 6 at 4:10PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game.
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m ago | `Academic-Dictionary` | BUY | ATLANTA BRAVES | $1.50 |
| 2m ago | `Jaded-Sanctuary` | BUY | ATLANTA BRAVES | $2.06 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x84cf…2f63` — 27,979.42 shares
- `0xbd14…d62a` — 21,410.975 shares
- `0xd48a…6e90` — 16,255.905 shares
- `0xadfa…324e` — 12,000 shares
- `0x92b5…fec6` — 10,230.963 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xabb8…bba3` — 36,949.15 shares
- `0x99a7…fc82` — 33,765.443 shares
- `0xd3df…82fa` — 22,039.176 shares
- `0x16bb…8492` — 12,478.21 shares
- `0x3e2f…aaf8` — 12,432.982 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 152 |
| Window start | 2026-04-30T14:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-06T21:40:04.000Z |
| Range | 25¢ → 50¢ |
| Net change | -25.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=mlb-atl-sea-2026-05-06` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners — 34% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-06T21:41:43.244Z from https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-atl-sea-2026-05-06.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*