# Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 53% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 21:21:36 GMT. 24h change +17.0pp, 24h volume $409.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-bos-det-2026-05-04
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-bos-det-2026-05-04
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T21:21:36.179Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **53¢** (53%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +17.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $409.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $411.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $216.5K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 11, 2026

**Source:** https://www.mlb.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for May 4 at 6:40PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game.
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x84cf…2f63` — 65,283.1 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 39,860.25 shares
- `0x5e6e…be00` — 28,920.32 shares
- `0xd106…c79c` — 14,429.386 shares
- `0xefdd…017f` — 11,134.73 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x99a7…fc82` — 55,555 shares
- `0x7d2f…ef1a` — 29,000 shares
- `0x21f3…35e3` — 26,417.894 shares
- `0x9703…69c2` — 13,278.81 shares
- `0xd48a…6e90` — 10,920.897 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 147 |
| Window start | 2026-04-28T19:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T21:20:05.000Z |
| Range | 33¢ → 67¢ |
| Net change | +2.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=mlb-bos-det-2026-05-04` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers — 53% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T21:21:36.179Z from https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-bos-det-2026-05-04.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*