# Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 12% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 07 May 2026 01:57:02 GMT. 24h change -41.0pp, 24h volume $288.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-cle-kc-2026-05-06-total-7pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-cle-kc-2026-05-06-total-7pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-07T01:57:02.136Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **12¢** (12%) |
| Δ 1h | -17.5pp |
| Δ 24h | -41.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $288.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $288.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $10.2K |
| Spread | 3.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026

**Source:** https://www.mlb.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for May 6 at 7:40 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if the Cleveland Guardians and Kansas City Royals combine to score 8 or more runs in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x4f21…0ec5` — 254,554.132 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 8,275.03 shares
- `0x78b0…9f1a` — 3,333.333 shares
- `0x435d…c52a` — 722.075 shares
- `0xb45a…192c` — 399.747 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x9495…9a27` — 232,948.66 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 10,130.124 shares
- `0x27f7…44b0` — 5,940 shares
- `0xa697…59d5` — 3,069.086 shares
- `0x09ee…90a4` — 3,028.122 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 30 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T20:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-07T01:00:06.000Z |
| Range | 38¢ → 54¢ |
| Net change | -13.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=mlb-cle-kc-2026-05-06-total-7pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 — 12% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-07T01:57:02.136Z from https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-cle-kc-2026-05-06-total-7pt5.
```

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