# Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 1% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 22:12:44 GMT. 24h change -51.4pp, 24h volume $311.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-cle-oak-2026-05-03
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-cle-oak-2026-05-03
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T22:12:44.674Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **1¢** (1%) |
| Δ 1h | -40.9pp |
| Δ 24h | -51.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $311.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $311.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $11.9K |
| Spread | 0.50pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://www.mlb.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Athletics, scheduled for May 3 at 4:05PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa8e0…ad50` — 72,501.71 shares
- `0x16bb…8492` — 30,111.11 shares
- `0x2dc1…b33c` — 22,569.51 shares
- `0x6498…8910` — 20,000.985 shares
- `0xd48a…6e90` — 14,073.864 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xf152…64aa` — 37,499.913 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 31,893.339 shares
- `0x9703…69c2` — 22,398.576 shares
- `0xabb8…bba3` — 22,222.22 shares
- `0xd844…da79` — 17,410.14 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 153 |
| Window start | 2026-04-27T14:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T22:11:04.000Z |
| Range | 1¢ → 56¢ |
| Net change | -49.9pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=mlb-cle-oak-2026-05-03` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics — 1% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T22:12:44.674Z from https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-cle-oak-2026-05-03.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*