# Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 62% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 24 May 2026 19:39:17 GMT. 24h change +6.5pp, 24h volume $375.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-cle-phi-2026-05-24
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-cle-phi-2026-05-24
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-24T19:39:17.860Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **62¢** (62%) |
| Δ 1h | +11.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +6.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $375.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $378.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $10.3K |
| Spread | 2.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 31, 2026

**Source:** https://www.mlb.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for May 24 at 1:35PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 19:36 UTC | `Same-Whelp` | SELL | CLEVELAND GUARDIANS | $267.82 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 60,709.507 shares
- `0xd38a…8d26` — 18,957.615 shares
- `0xd48a…6e90` — 13,552.944 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 11,145.714 shares
- `0x6ade…f5b0` — 10,010.503 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3dfb…abaf` — 33,332.978 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 27,470.799 shares
- `0x2dc1…b33c` — 25,806.45 shares
- `0xbca0…9705` — 17,412.135 shares
- `0x32ed…f960` — 14,046.52 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 151 |
| Window start | 2026-05-18T14:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-24T19:38:03.000Z |
| Range | 28¢ → 71¢ |
| Net change | +20.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=mlb-cle-phi-2026-05-24` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies — 62% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-24T19:39:17.860Z from https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-cle-phi-2026-05-24.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*